2026-05-26

Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 25? (0.0%, -97.4%) 9/10
Another confirmed case of Hantavirus in US by May 31? (100.0%, +48.8%) 9/10
Will Trump agree to Iranian oil sanction relief by May 31? (35.5%, +11.0%) 9/10
US x Iran permanent peace deal before ceasefire ends? (0.0%, -53.9%) 8/10
Will OpenAI IPO by September 30 2026? (17.5%, -21.0%) 8/10
Will Russia capture all of Hryshyne by May 31? (10.0%, -19.5%) 8/10
Will Caroline Elliott win the 2026 Conservative Party of British Columbia leader (78.0%, -15.5%) 8/10
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30? (53.0%, +13.5%) 8/10

Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 25? (0.0%, -97.4%)

Prediction market shows Iran ceasefire probability dropped to 0% with a 97.4% decline and $37M volume.

rss · unknown · 5月26日 13:02

Prediction market shows near-certain probability (100%) of a confirmed hantavirus case in the US by May 31, with a sharp 48.8% increase.

rss · unknown · 5月26日 13:02

Prediction market shows a sharp increase in probability that Trump will agree to Iranian oil sanction relief by May 31.

rss · unknown · 5月26日 13:02

Prediction market probability of US-Iran permanent peace deal before ceasefire ends drops to 0% with high trading volume.

rss · unknown · 5月26日 13:02

Prediction market shows 17.5% probability of OpenAI IPO by Sept 2026, with a 21% drop in 24 hours and $1.68M volume.

rss · unknown · 5月26日 13:02

Prediction market shows sharp drop in probability of Russia capturing Hryshyne by May 31 to 10%.

rss · unknown · 5月26日 13:02

Caroline Elliott's probability of winning the 2026 BC Conservative Party leadership fell sharply in a high-volume prediction market.

rss · unknown · 5月26日 13:02

Prediction market shows a 53% chance of a US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30, with a 13.5% increase in 24 hours and over $2.9 million in volume.

rss · unknown · 5月26日 13:02