2026-05-27

Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Horm (59.0%, +18.5%) 9/10
Will the Democratic Party win the SC-06 House seat? (85.5%, +43.5%) 8/10
Will turnout in the Texas Republican Senate primary runoff be between 1,200,000 (98.0%, +18.8%) 8/10
Will Ken Paxton win the Texas Republican Senate Primary runoff by 9% or more? (100.0%, +18.4%) 8/10
No one announced as next James Bond? (89.5%, +17.5%) 8/10
Will Alibaba have the best AI model at the end of May 2026? (93.5%, +14.5%) 8/10
Will there be at least 2000 measles cases in the U.S. by May 31, 2026? (34.4%, -14.0%) 8/10
Will 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by May 31? (28.5%, -12.5%) 8/10

Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Horm (59.0%, +18.5%)

Prediction market shows 59% probability that Trump will announce lifting the US blockade of the Strait of Hormuz by June 2026, with a sharp 18.5% increase in 24 hours.

rss · unknown · 5月27日 13:07

Will the Democratic Party win the SC-06 House seat? (85.5%, +43.5%)

The Democratic Party's chances of winning the SC-06 House seat surged 43.5% to 85.5%, reflecting a major shift in the prediction market.

prediction market politics US House election South Carolina odds movement

rss · unknown · 5月27日 13:07

Will turnout in the Texas Republican Senate primary runoff be between 1,200,000 (98.0%, +18.8%)

Prediction market shows 98% probability that Texas Republican Senate primary runoff turnout will be between 1.2M and 1.5M voters, with a significant 18.8% increase in 24 hours.

politics prediction market Texas primary runoff turnout

rss · unknown · 5月27日 13:07

Will Ken Paxton win the Texas Republican Senate Primary runoff by 9% or more? (100.0%, +18.4%)

Prediction market shows Ken Paxton nearly certain to win Texas Senate Republican primary runoff by 9% or more.

prediction markets politics Texas primary runoff Ken Paxton high odds movement

rss · unknown · 5月27日 13:07

No one announced as next James Bond? (89.5%, +17.5%)

The prediction market shows a sharp increase in the likelihood that no actor will be announced as the next James Bond.

prediction market James Bond entertainment odds market sentiment

rss · unknown · 5月27日 13:07

Will Alibaba have the best AI model at the end of May 2026? (93.5%, +14.5%)

Prediction market shows high probability (93.5%) that Alibaba will have the best Chinese AI model by May 2026, with a large 24h increase.

AI Prediction Market Alibaba Chinese AI Industry Trends

rss · unknown · 5月27日 13:07

Will there be at least 2000 measles cases in the U.S. by May 31, 2026? (34.4%, -14.0%)

Prediction market shows decreasing probability (34.4%) of at least 2000 measles cases in the U.S. by May 31, 2026.

public health prediction market measles epidemiology

rss · unknown · 5月27日 13:07

Will 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by May 31? (28.5%, -12.5%)

Prediction market shows a sharp drop in probability (28.5%, -12.5%) that 20 ships will transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by May 31, with $1.2M in volume.

geopolitics prediction market oil shipping Strait of Hormuz

rss · unknown · 5月27日 13:07