2026-05-30
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026? (44.5%, -11.0%) 9/10
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 15, 2026? (34.0%, -15.5%) 8/10
- Will Bitcoin dip to $72,500 in May? (25.5%, -40.0%) 8/10
- US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 7? (39.5%, -20.0%) 8/10
- MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026? (17.8%, -20.0%) 8/10
- Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Horm (29.5%, -11.5%) 8/10
- Will Pizza Hut be acquired before 2027? (55.5%, +31.0%) 8/10
- GPT-5.6 released by June 5, 2026? (5.5%, -22.5%) 7/10
US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026? (44.5%, -11.0%)
Polymarket shows 44.5% chance of US-Iran permanent peace deal by July 2026, down 11% in 24h on $225M volume.rss · unknown · 5月30日 13:00
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 15, 2026? (34.0%, -15.5%)
Market gives 34% chance of US-Iran diplomatic meeting by June 15, down 15.5% on $42M volume.rss · unknown · 5月30日 13:00
Will Bitcoin dip to $72,500 in May? (25.5%, -40.0%)
Polymarket shows only 25.5% chance Bitcoin dips to $72,500 in May, down 40% on $40M volume.rss · unknown · 5月30日 13:00
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 7? (39.5%, -20.0%)
39.5% chance of US announcing new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 7, down 20%.rss · unknown · 5月30日 13:00
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026? (17.8%, -20.0%)
Only 17.8% chance MicroStrategy sells Bitcoin by May 31, down 20% on $35M volume.rss · unknown · 5月30日 13:00
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Horm (29.5%, -11.5%)
29.5% chance Trump announces lifting of Hormuz blockade by June 7, down 11.5%.rss · unknown · 5月30日 13:00
Will Pizza Hut be acquired before 2027? (55.5%, +31.0%)
Polymarket jumps to 55.5% chance Pizza Hut acquired before 2027, up 31% on $17.8M volume.rss · unknown · 5月30日 13:00
GPT-5.6 released by June 5, 2026? (5.5%, -22.5%)
Only 5.5% chance GPT-5.6 released by June 5, down 22.5% on low volume.rss · unknown · 5月30日 13:00