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2026-07-02
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Polymarket 上美伊会晤概率暴跌 74%
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美伊会晤概率下降 11%,至 39.5%
2026-05-30
特朗普要求伊朗放弃核武器,开放霍尔木兹海峡
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US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026? (44.5%, -11.0%)
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 15, 2026? (34.0%, -15.5%)
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 7? (39.5%, -20.0%)
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Horm